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A view on semiconductor fab. trends to 2012

Posted: 13 Oct 2008 ?? ?Print Version ?Bookmark and Share

Keywords:semiconductor? fab? trends?

By Navraj Nandra
The Eyes Have It

Well, it was a long summer break, since my last entry! Over the past few months, I spent quite a bit of time with customers around the globe learning about their fabrication technology needs. Here are the trends I'm seeing.

32 nm

  • Reduction of product cost and power compared to 45 nm

  • Foundry offerings include HKMG

  • Migration started, leading IDM's ramping up initial volumes in Q4/2009

  • Ramp-up of 32 nm requires cost per function to be reduced (exception can be processors for high-end servers where price premiums can be maintained)

  • Shrink path to 28 nm

  • Mainstream market adoption projected in ~2012

    45/40 nm

  • 1st wave customers designing in 45/40nm

  • Major driver: wireless handset/consumer multimedia

  • Volumes low due to leakage (parametric yields, soft errors in embedded memory)

  • Mainstream market adoption in 2010~2011

    65 nm

  • Very fast ramp-up of designs, faster than expected

  • Use of 65nm for RF as well as digital designs

  • Very long life cycle projected with Asia moving to 65 nm aggressively and 55 nm being offered in the digital consumer area

    SOI

  • Still remains niche: GPU, CPU, NPU

    Would be interesting to read your viewpoints.

    Navraj Nandra is part of the Synopsys OpenCommunity.org. His blog, The Eyes Have It, discusses all things related to mixed-signal PHY IP such as the latest trends, design challenges and anything that may be controversial.





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