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Three billion cellular subscribers by 2008

Posted: 09 Feb 2006 ?? ?Print Version ?Bookmark and Share

Keywords:Mobile Subscriber Database? ABI Research? cellular? cellphone?

The "Mobile Subscriber Database" from ABI Research reported that at the end of September 2005, the global cellular market clocked a record 2 billion cellular subscribers. By the end of December 2005 that figure had reached 2.14 billion and is well on the way to reaching 3 billion before the end of 2008, the report further said.

"There is potential to push those numbers to 3.5 billion if some of the low-cost handset and infrastructure initiatives being promoted by manufacturers such as Nokia, Motorola and Ericsson can help operators in India, China and Africa push coverage further inland and reach the smaller townships and villages," said Jake Saunders, director of global forecasting at ABI Research. As a result of these initiatives, said the press release, mobile phone calls that typically cost 2 cents/minute and 5 cents/minute in China and India respectively will drop 20% by 2008.

According to ABI Research, WCDMA is starting to ramp up, with 2006 starting to look like the year of the 3G phone. At the end of 2004 there were 17.3 million 3G subscribers, and by the end of 2005 there were 42 million WCDMA subscriptionsa year-on-year growth rate of 142 percent. By the end of 2010, there will be 1 billion 3G subscribers milling around the world, which will equate to 30% of the global subscriber market, the ABI Research report said.

"There are still definitely opportunities to be exploited in the mobile cellular market-place but there are also a number of new and old uncertainties," Saunders added.

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