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Gartner halves 2008 chip forecast

Posted: 04 Mar 2008 ?? ?Print Version ?Bookmark and Share

Keywords:Gartner chip forecast? 2008 IC market? DRAM?

Citing a weak demand picture and slumping prices, Gartner Inc. has cut its worldwide chip forecast by nearly one-half.

In December, Gartner said that the overall IC market would grow by 6.2 percent in 2008 over 2007. In its latest forecast, the firm said the semiconductor market will grow only 3.4 percent in 2008.

The IC market is expected to rebound and grow by 9.4 percent in 2009. The sector is expected to grow 6.5 percent in 2010, 0.7 percent in 2011 and 5.3 percent in 2012, according to Gartner.

What prompted the changes in 2008? There are mixed signals in the market. First, the signs are ''pointing" to a slowdown or a U.S. recession, according to Gartner.

Most IC executives are not seeing a slowdown in orders, although visibility beyond the next quarter is ''poor,'' according to the firm.

The real problem is the memory market. The DRAM market has been in a ''recession'' since the start of 2007. DRAMs are expected to fall by 15 percent in 2008 and the overall recovery in the sector could be pushed out until 2009, according to the firm.

NAND flash will grow less than 15 percent in 2008, which is down from Gartner's previous forecast of some 30 percent growth this year.

- Mark LaPedus
EE Times

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