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Which chip company will Oracle buy?

Posted: 28 Sep 2010 ?? ?Print Version ?Bookmark and Share

Keywords:acquisition? forecast? Ellison?

Just months after Oracle purchased Sun Microsystems, CEO Larry Ellison announced that the company is considering to buy a chip manufacturer. There are varied forecasts on who the likely candidates are.

Some speculated that Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and ARM were possible candidates, although analysts dismissed those rumors. Mellanox Technologies could be an acquisition candidate, according to the International Business Times, citing ThinkEquity as its source.

Still others think that Oracle may take a look at an EDA vendor. Providing their opinions, editors from EE Times weighed in on what Oracle may do in terms of chip acquisitions:

Aquantia or SeaMicro?

''Mellanox is a distant possibility. They are the only maker of Infiniband chips. (They) supply IBM and other Oracle competitors. They are also doing pretty well these days so they don�t need or probably even don�t want to be acquired.

The megatrend in servers is to sell servers, networking and storage as a bundle. Sun is relatively weak in networking compared to HP and IBM. If Oracle acquires any chip companies, I suspect they would be in 10G+ Ethernet.

A more likely (acquisition) scenario would be Aquantia who like Teranetics (bought by PLX) is a standalone 10GBase-T PHY company that has raised $100 million and not shown profitability yet. A wild card might be SeaMicro, that Atom-based low power multiprocessing server startup that debuted this year. I would not expect Oracle needs a fab.��

- Rick Merritt
editor-at-large for EE Times

Not AMD or ARM

''I can see Oracle ditching Sun�s Sparc chip in the distant future. Sparc is running out of gas. But I can�t see Oracle buying AMD or ARM. That makes no sense. I also don�t see Oracle building a fab.

However, I could see Oracle investing or buying a company with expertise in the ARM world. Oracle/Sun may want an ARM-based server one day. I can see Oracle investing in startup Smooth-Stone Inc.. The ARM-based chip server startup has recently raised $48 million from a syndicate of investors, including ARM, Advanced Technology Investment Co. (ATIC) and Texas Instruments Inc.

Like Rick, I can see Oracle buying a networking chip firm. But one of the issues for computer systems houses is the lingering bandwidth bottleneck problem, especially between the processor and memory. There are a lot of new ideas on how to solve the problem, namely using a new class of storage subsystems or I/O systems, based on NAND.

Perhaps Oracle could make a play for any number of these guys, namely Fusion-io, Violin Memory and Virident. Virident seems ripe for an acquisition, at least in my opinion. So is Fusion-io, which has a strategic alliance with HP�s server unit. I am sure Ellison would love to upset HP even more and buy Fusion-io.

Last but not least, Oracle seems to be going against the grain here. One of Sun�s server rivals-IBM-has an internal chip unit. Big Blue is mainly known for developing ASICs and microprocessors. IBM also has a fab.

IBM also made several chip acquisitions over the years, but most of those did not work out. Big Blue has divested many of those acquisitions. It got burned in the standards products business and would prefer to stay out of the arena.

Another server vendor-Hewlett-Packard Co.-got out of the chip business several years ago. If you recall, it spin out its chip operations into a company called Agilent, which, in turn, spun out the IC unit into an entity called Avago.

Another computer vendor, Fujitsu Ltd, is spinning out its chip unit. So I�m scratching my about Ellison�s comments. Perhaps he wants to emulate Cisco, which has made several chip acquisitions in the past, as a means to gain internal expertise and designers.''

- Mark LaPedus
semiconductor editor of EE Times

One of the big three EDA vendors

''In the past there has been some wild speculation that Oracle might muscle its way into the EDA business by buying one of the 'Big Three EDA vendors�Synopsys Inc., Mentor Graphics Corp. or Cadence Design Systems Inc. But people who follow EDA are quick to dismiss this speculation, often laughingly. EDA is simply too small a market to interest Oracle, and there are not many synergies between the businesses. Ray Bingham, a former CEO and chairman at Cadence, has been a member of Oracle's board of directors since 2002.''

- Dylan McGrath
editor of EE Times

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