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Q3 chip sales drop, but 2010 still up

Posted: 09 Nov 2010 ?? ?Print Version ?Bookmark and Share

Keywords:semiconductors? sales? market report?

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics organization reports that the market for semiconductor chips weakened in Q3 2010, falling behind the ten-year average historical averages. Still, the rebound in 1H 2010 was striong enough so that the market is still set to show strong growth for the full year compared to 2009.

The "actual" global market for chips in September was $29.37 billion, up 20.8 percent from the same month a year before, and up 15.5 percent compared with actual sales in August, according to WSTS. However, the sequential percentage growth in chips sales was less than over the previous decade, which has, on average, shown a sequential rise of 24.2 percent.

The below-ten-year trend in actual September chip sales follows a similar result in August but an above-trend result in July.

For Q3 2010, chip sales were $79.385 billion, up 26.25 year-on-year, and up 6.1 percent compared with Q2 2010. However, this sequential percentage growth is below the 8.1 percent ten-year average for quarterly sequential percentage growth. Q2 2010 showed sequential growth of 7 percent, ahead of the ten-year average of 2.9 percent.

In the past ten years, Q4 global chip sales have shown a sequential dip of 0.6 percent, on average. With the highest and lowest growth figures taken out, the market has, on average, grown by 1 percent.

A flat chip market in Q4 would bring the annual total in at about $303 billion, whereas a sequential dip of 3 or 4 percent would bring the market up to almost exactly $300 million and annual growth of about 33 percent.

The figures given above are based on actual chip sales, rather than the three-month-moving averages used by the Semiconductor Industry Association and the European Semiconductor Industry Association. These organizations use an average to smooth out monthly data that would otherwise show troughs at the beginning of the quarters and peaks at the end of the quarter.

- Peter Clarke
EE Times

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