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Is the struggle over for polysilicon market?

Posted: 27 Dec 2011 ?? ?Print Version ?Bookmark and Share

Keywords:polysilicon market? spot price? solar cell?

According to EnergyTrend, a research arm of TrendForce Corp., the polysilicon spot market price has stabilized. In fact, some products have even seen a price increase. In terms of contract price for January next year, some upstream suppliers are planning for a slight increase. However, negotiations are still ongoing. The market research firm believes that the polysilicon contract price trend next year will depend on downstream manufacturers, particularly wafer makers.

High efficiency and standard products currently show a price gap from 10-20 percent. As the market proportion of high efficiency products continues to increase, spot price will be affected significantly. Additionally, most manufacturers have cleared their inventories and thus have no desire to further lower price. As a result, this week's prices remained stable, with slight signs of recovery.

polysilicon market

The spot market price for polysilicon has stabilized. (Source: EnergyTrend)

EnergyTrend said most downstream makers are relatively optimistic toward the market trend this year, believing the decreased demand in European markets will be limited while Chinese and Japanese markets will see obvious growth. In addition, the industry believes the temporary production shutdown of mid-to-small manufacturers' will help stabilize polysilicon price. Likewise, China has proposed an appropriate policy to support the development of the polysilicon industry. Therefore, EnergyTrend believes that Chinese government is ready to intervene with the market and companies lacking economies of scale and competitive advantages will likely be forced into mergers and acquisitions or driven out of business. With many western manufacturers temporarily shutting down part of capacity to alleviate pressure from decreasing polysilicon price, upstream manufacturers are planning to increase contract price next year.

As for this week's spot prices, polysilicon, Si wafer and solar cell price all remain on a downtrend, but the decline has slowed. Lowest polysilicon price remained at $20/kg, while polysilicon ASP fell by 0.79 percent to $23.79/kg. As for Si wafers, lowest multiSi wafer price was $1/piece, while lowest mono-Si wafer price was $1.48/piece. This week's multiSi wafer ASP was $1.12/piece, an increase of 0.09 percent, and mono-Si wafer ASP remained the same at $1.57/piece. Affected by the India market, this week's solar cell price decreased further, with a low of $0.43/W and ASP at $0.505/W, a 1.17 percent decrease. This week's module and thin film price remained the same.

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