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Analyst: Things are looking up for PC, notebook shipments

Posted: 05 Jun 2012 ?? ?Print Version ?Bookmark and Share

Keywords:PC shipments? notebook market? portable computers?

IC Insights has raised its forecast for total shipments of personal computers in its Mid-Year Update to its 2012 IC Market Drivers Report. The market analyst firm now expects total PC shipments to reach 478 million units in 2012, which is a 15 percent increase over the 416 million units shipped in 2011.

The report also forecasts total PC shipments to grow to 783 million units by 2015, representing an average annual increase of 16 percent between 2010 and 2015.

The figure below shows IC Insights' the breakdown of annual PC unit shipments by system type based on the newly updated forecast.

Breakdown of annual PC shipments

Breakdown of annual PC shipments.

New design concepts such as hybrid touch-screen/keyboard systems as well as growing use of tablet computers by businesses will significantly boost shipments of tablet and notebook PCs in 2012 and through the forecast period. Shipments of tablet PCs are now forecast to rise 75 percent to 110 million units in 2012 and notebook shipments are forecast to increase 11 percent to 205 million units.

It is important to note that personal computer categories are beginning to blur as a result of Intel's ultrabook campaign, Microsoft's new support for tablets in Windows 8, and the on-going efforts to differentiate systems from Apple's iPad products. New hybrid portable PC designs supported in Intel's ultrabook roadmap will attempt to merge the best features of tablets and notebooks.

Total portable computer shipments (i.e., full-feature notebooks, less-powerful netbooks, and touch-screen tablets) are forecast to represent 80 percent of worldwide units sold in 2015 compared to 68 percent forecast in 2012 and 63 percent in 2011. Portable computers exceeded the shipments of desktop PCs for the first time in 2009, and since then, the gap between stationary and mobile systems has been growing wider. The introduction of touch-screen tablets has accelerated this trend.

IC Insights' refreshed outlook for PC integrated circuit sales raises the projected dollar volume for ICs in 2012 due to higher system shipments. PC integrated circuit sales are now expected to grow 3 percent in 2012 to $78.6 billion compared to $76.6 billion in 2011, which was a 2 percent decline from $78.5 billion in 2010.

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