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IC sales in APAC remain slow in August

Posted: 03 Oct 2012 ?? ?Print Version ?Bookmark and Share

Keywords:semiconductor sales? business cycle? Asia Pacific?

The economic research firm e-forecasting.com has revealed that the Asia Pacific Semiconductor Chip Sales leading indicator increased 0.3 per cent in August to a reading of 222, after edging down 0.3 per cent in July.�The economic research firm noted that the index was set to average 100 in 2005.

The indicator, comparable to the company's other global regional semiconductor industry indicators for North America, Japan and Europe, is a forward-looking composite index that forecasts six months ahead, on average, business activity in the region for semiconductor sales.

The six-month growth rate is commonly used in business cycle analysis for both signalling impending turning points in business activity and as a recession monitor. The semiconductor leading indicator's six month growth rate was 3.4 per cent in August 2012, after recording a six month growth rate of negative 3.6 per cent in July. Consecutive positive values in the six-month growth rate predict an end to an economic recession and the beginning of an upcoming expansion.

"Even with a month over month increase, the Asia Pacific semiconductor industry leading indicator continues to show signs of slowing down, with the six month growth rate continuing to ease from a high of 14.2 per cent reached in February," said Maria Simos Sogard, CEO of e-forecasting.com. "In our Asia Pacific Semiconductor Sales Forecast report, we forecast a 9.9 per cent increase in sales over the next 12 months compared to the last 12 month period."





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